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经济学人：2050年约13亿人患糖尿病

A new study says that every country in the world will see diabetes rates increase in the next 30 years if preventive steps are not taken.Researchers from the Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington wrote the study.The researchers found there are currently 529 million people in the world with diabetes.Researchers expect that the number will increase to around 1.3 billion people by 2050.The majority of the cases are type 2 diabetes, the form of the disease that is linked to extreme weight, or obesity, and is largely preventable, the researchers said.The increases in diabetes levels are not expected to be the same around the world.Some countries will be affected more than others.For example, diabetes levels are expected to reach about 17 percent in North Africa and the Middle East and about 11 percent in Latin America and the Caribbean by 2050.The predicted rate for the world is about 10 percent.

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一项新的研究表明，如果不采取预防措施，未来30年，世界上每个国家的糖尿病发病率都将会上升。美国华盛顿大学健康指标与评估研究所的研究人员撰写了这项研究。研究人员发现，目前全球有5.29亿糖尿病患者。研究人员预计，到2050年，这一数字将会增加到约13亿人。研究人员表示，大多数病例是2型糖尿病，这种糖尿病与超重（即肥胖）有关，基本上是可以预防的。预计世界各地糖尿病发病率的增长速度并不相同。有些国家将会比其他国家受到更大的影响。例如，到2050年，预计北非和中东的糖尿病发病率将会达到约17%，拉丁美洲和加勒比地区的糖尿病发病率预计将会达到约11%。预测全球糖尿病发病率将会达到约10%。

 

Currently, diabetes levels are around six percent, but every country will be affected, researchers said."The rapid rate at which diabetes is growing is not only alarming but also challenging for every health system in the world," said Liane Ong, lead writer of the research paper.Ong said diabetes is linked to a number of conditions such as heart disease and stroke.Medical experts believe rising obesity and population changes are two of the reasons growing numbers of people are having diabetes.Diabetes is more common among older adults, the study showed.

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研究人员表示，目前全球糖尿病发病率约为6%，但每个国家都会受到影响。该研究论文的主要作者利亚妮·翁说：“糖尿病发病率增长速度之快不仅令人惊恐，更给世界各地的卫生系统带来挑战。”翁说，糖尿病与心脏病和中风等许多疾病有关。医学专家认为，肥胖率上升和人口变化是糖尿病患者人数增加的两个原因。研究显示，糖尿病在老年人中更常见。

 

The data from 204 countries did not consider the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic because those numbers were not yet available, researchers said.The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation paid for the study.It is part of a series of studies about diabetes that recently appeared in The Lancet.The series in the medical publication calls for better plans to prevent the disease.Studies in the series also say more people should know that most diabetes patients live in low- and middle-income countries and are unable to get good treatment.They link issues like inequality and race to the development of the disease.I'm John Russell.
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研究人员表示，来自204个国家的数据没有考虑新冠疫情的影响，因为这些数据尚未获得。比尔及梅琳达·盖茨基金会资助了这项研究。这是最近发表在《柳叶刀》上的一系列有关糖尿病的研究的一部分。医学刊物上的这一系列文章呼吁制定更好的计划来预防这种疾病。该系列研究还称，应该让更多的人知道，大多数糖尿病患者生活在低收入和中等收入国家，无法获得良好的治疗。他们将不平等和种族等问题与疾病的发展联系起来。约翰·拉塞尔为您播报。